The Influence of Interest Rates, Inflation, Exchange Rates and Exports on Indonesia's Foreign Exchange Reserves

Authors

  • Anindya Hastuti Ratnaningtyas Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jawa Timur
  • Syamsul Huda Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jawa Timur

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55927/ijba.v3i6.5727

Keywords:

Interest Rate, Inflation, Exchange Rate, Export, Foreign Exchange Reserves

Abstract

Inconsistencies between changes in foreign exchange reserves and interest rates, inflation, export value, and the Rupiah exchange rate versus the US Dollar were revealed by this research. The aim is to determine how Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves are affected by interest rates, inflation, exchange rates and exports. This research uses descriptive quantitative methods with an explanation strategy. The research was conducted using secondary data from Bank Indonesia and the Indonesian Central Statistics Agency for the period 2005–2021, with a sample of 11 data taken using the selective selection method. Through IBM SPSS version 23, multiple linear regression was used to analyze the data. The findings show that while exports have a sizable positive impact on foreign currency reserves, interest rates have a significant negative impact. However, there is little impact on foreign exchange reserves from inflation and the exchange rate. In conclusion, these factors together have a big impact on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves: interest rates, inflation, exchange rates, and exports.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Anonim Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia (BPS). (2022). Posisi Cadangan devisa (Juta US$), 2020-2022. Bps.Go.Id. https://www.bps.go.id/indicator/13/1091/1/posisi-cadangan-devisa.html

Anonim BANK INDONESIA (2020b). Metadata. Bank Indonesia.

Bank Indonesia. (2020a). Indonesia Economic Report 2020 “Synergy to Build Optimism for Economic Recovery.” Bersinergi Membangun Optimisme Pemulihan Ekonomi.

Diphayana, W. (2019). Perdagangan internasional (Cetakan Pe). Deepublish.

Fortuna, A. M., Muljaningsih, S., & Asmara, K. (2021). Analisis Pengaruh Eskpor, Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Dan Utang Luar Negeri Terhadap Cadangan devisa Indonesia. Equilibrium : Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi, Manajemen Dan Akuntansi, 10(2), 113–120. https://doi.org/10.35906/je001.v10i2.779

Juliansyah, H., Moulida, P., & Apridar, A. (2020). Analisis Faktor-faktor Yang Mempengaruhui Cadangan devisa Indonesia Bukti (Kointegrasi dan Kausalitas). Jurnal Ekonomi Regional Unimal, 3(2), 32–46. https://doi.org/10.29103/jeru.v3i2.3204

Kuswantoro, M. (2017). Analisis Pengaruh Inflasi, Kurs, Utang Luar Negeri Dan Ekspor Terhadap Cadangan devisa Indonesia. Tirtayasa Ekonomika, 12(1), 146. https://doi.org/10.35448/jte.v12i1.4442

Masitha, I. P., & Pangidoan, E. (2020). Pengaruh suku bunga, nilai tukar rupiah, inflasi, ekspor dan impor terhadap cadangan devisa di Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi Dan Keuangan, 8(1), 59–65.

Negara, M. A. S. (2019). Pengaruh Ekspor, Impor, Nilai Tukar Rupiah dan Tingkat Inflasi Terhadap Cadangan devisa Indonesia Periode 2001 - 2018.

Pratiwi, D. S., Busairi, A., & Junaidi, A. (2018). Pengaruh Ekspor Dan Nilai Tukar Rupiah Serta Tingkat Inflasi Terhadap Cadangan devisa Indonesia. JIEM: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Mulawarman, 3(4), 1–12.

Rahmawati, I., & Soesilowati, E. (2022). Efek Suku Bunga, Nilai Tukar dan Ekspor terhadap Cadangan devisa Indonesia pada Masa Pandemi Covid - 19. Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi (JURKAMI), 7(2), 29–39. https://doi.org/DOI : 10.31932/jpe.v7i2.1599

Restanti, J. A. (2020). Model Keynesian Neraca Pembayaran Internasional Negara Indonesia Tahun 2011-2020. Jurnal Ilmua Ekonomi (JIE), 4(2), 339–353.

Saputra, I. G. A., & Dharmadiaksa, I. B. (2016). Pengaruh Tingkat Suku Bunga, Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Leverage Dan Profitabilitas Pada Return Saham. E-Jurnal Akuntansi Universitas Udayana, 16(2), 1007–1033.

Setiawan, H., & Lestari, S. (2016). Perdagangan Internasional. Pustaka Nusantara.

Suwarno, I., Wianto Putra, I. M., & Sutapa, I. N. (2021). Pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai Tukar Rupiah (USD), Suku Bunga Dan Ekspor Terhadap Cadangan devisa Negara Indonesia Tahun 2009-2019. Jurnal Riset Akuntansi Warmadewa, 2(1), 48–53. https://doi.org/10.22225/jraw.2.1.2933.48-53

Downloads

Published

2024-01-02

How to Cite

Ratnaningtyas, A. H., & Huda, S. (2024). The Influence of Interest Rates, Inflation, Exchange Rates and Exports on Indonesia’s Foreign Exchange Reserves. Indonesian Journal of Business Analytics, 3(6), 2039–2054. https://doi.org/10.55927/ijba.v3i6.5727